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Denisa Dumitru, President of Stellar Re Intermediaries, was interviewed by PRIMM, a leading Romanian financial news magazine.

A Looming Crisis
Insurance Companies seeking reinsurance in the international markets are finding it harder than ever to obtain coverage.
Estimates of the cost of the terrorist attacks that took place on September 11, 2001 range from $40 to 70 billion. That is $40 to 70 billion that is no longer available to support the world’s insurance and reinsurance capacity needs. Quite apart from this enormous capital drain, reinsurers had been losing money from both overly competitive pricing and increasingly large catastrophic events in the years leading up to 2001. Since then international reinsurers have continued to absorb major market losses, the massive Toulouse Refinery loss occurring 10 days after September 11 and the Central European flood losses of this Summer being prime examples. The economic losses from the floods in Germany alone have been estimated at EUR 10 billion, although only approximately 15% of that amount was insured.
The impact of such appalling results on reinsurance balance sheets has caused the major rating agencies to downgrade the ratings of even some of the largest reinsurers. Many reinsurers have either curtailed their operations or stopped writing reinsurance altogether. Gerling Global was the sixth largest reinsurer in the world and the largest reinsurer ever to close down. Gerling wrote $ 5.8 billion dollars in premiums in 2001. All that business is now looking for a new home.
A few billion dollars of new capacity have been added to the market in the form of new start up operations in Bermuda; new reinsurers such as Platinum Underwriters, Montpelier Re and Arch Re. However, these new reinsurance markets, as is the case with most Bermudian reinsurers, only write reinsurance on a very restricted basis, concentrating mainly on catastrophe non-proportional business.
Where reinsurers are still willing to provide proportional reinsurance, they are imposing significant restrictions and either limiting or excluding any exposure to natural catastrophic peril events.
With such a huge reduction in reinsurance capacity the problem for reinsurance buyers is often not just a matter of pricing, but whether certain types of cover are available at all. Reinsurers are reporting that the volume of business on offer is so overwhelming, it is likely that the New Year 2003 will arrive with many reinsurance placements uncompleted. All signs point to very stressful times ahead for reinsurance buyers.

(PRIMM -December 1, 2002)


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